Bluntly put, for the less-favored competitors in the second tier to get their shot, Forte has to be given a terrible trip, which is to say, he has to be boxed in by traffic which, in turn, has to be difficult enough to confront him with too much to distance to make up as the finish line suddenly rushes at him. There are many ways for Forte to win the race, but, given his obvious talents, there are fewer ways for him to lose it. Parenthetically, Forte’s less-than even morning line odds are likely to go lower once Gulfstream’s windows open, so, for those players who care most about their exotics, Mage and Cyclone Mischief will be seen as helpmeets to up the payout. A bit closer to the rail, the 10-1 Mage, trained by Gustavo Delgado, has a shot. In order of post position, that means that the Dale-Romans-trained Cyclone Mischief, the Tim Yakteen-trained Fort Bragg, and the Danny Gargan-trained Dubyuhnell who are, also, bracketing Forte in the starting gate, are the athletes who are likeliest to be able to do that. Put another way, the track and the shorter length of the Florida Derby, at one-and-an-eighth miles, are a disadvantage for Forte that can be exploited by any horse in this field that wants to take the competition to him. Gulfstream is known among the racing community as a speed-favoring track - as opposed to, say, Belmont, whose sandy Long Island dirt and its enormous turns favor stamina - and that, tomorrow in Florida, coupled with Forte’s heavy outside placement will be factors that he and Ortiz will have to overcome if they are to live up to their favored status. Dubyuhnell, Danny Gargan, Jose Ortiz, 6-1 Forte, Todd Pletcher, Irad Ortiz Jr., 4-5ġ2. Fort Bragg, Tim Yakteen, Joel Rosario, 5-1ġ1. Cyclone Mischief, Dale Romans, Javier Castellano, 8-1ġ0. Ripple, Saffie Joseph Jr., Edgard Zayas, 30-1ĩ. Il Miracolo, Antonio Sano, Jesus Rios, 30-1Ĩ. Nautical Star, Saffie Joseph Jr., Leonel Reyes, 30-1ħ. Peeks, Saffie Joseph Jr., Edwin Gonzalez, 30-1Ħ.
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